Resources

FUITURES 2050 BIBLIOGRAPHY

//About Futures Studies://

Wendell Bell, Foundations of futures studies: Human science for a new era. Two volumes. New Brunswick, New Jersey: Transaction Publishers. 1997

Jim Dator, ed., Advancing futures: Futures studies in higher education. London: Praeger. 2002

Bertrand de Jouvenel, The art of conjecture. New York: Basic Books. 1967.

//Websites:// [|www.futures.hawaii.edu] [|www.metafuture.org]

//Futures Journals:// Foresight Futures The Futurist Journal of Futures Studies Technological Forecasting and Social Change Futures Research Quarterly

//Future One: Continued Growth// [If you can only read one: Simon, The Ultimate Resource 2]

Bob Davis and David Wessel, Prosperity: The coming 20-year boom and what it means to you. New York Times Books, 1998

Stan Davis and Christopher Meyer, Blur: The speed of change in the connected economy. Addison-Wesley, 1998

Benjamin Friedman, The moral consequences of economic growth. Knopf, 2005

Newt Gingrich, Winning the future. The 21st Century Contract with America. Regnery Publishing, 2005

James K. Glassman and Kevin Hassett, Dow 36,000. New York Times Books, 1999

Peter Huber, Hard Green: Saving the environment from the environmentalists: A conservative manifesto. Basic Books 2000

Charles Kadlec, Dow 100,000. Prentice-Hall. 1999

Herman Kahn, et. al., The next 200 years: A scenario for America and the world. Morrow, 1976

Herman Kahn, The coming boom: Economic, political and social. Simon and Schuster, 1982

Bjorn Lomborg, The skeptical environmentalist: Measure the real state of the world. Cambridge University Press, 2001

Bjorn Lomborg, Global crises, global solutions. Cambridge University Press, 2004

John McCarthy, “Progress and its Sustainability” accessed at: http://www-formal.stanford.edu/jmc/progress/index.html

Patrick Michaels, Meltdown: The predictable distortion of global warming by scientists, politicians and the media. Cato Institute, 2004

Michael Sanera, et al., Facts, not fear: Teaching children about the environment. The Fraser Institute, 1999

Peter Schwartz, et al., The Long Boom: Forging a better future for our families, communities, and business in the new global economy. Perseus Books, 1999

Julian Simon, The ultimate resource 2. Princeton University Press, 1998

Julian Simon and Herman Kahn, eds., The resourceful Earth. A response to" Global 2000". New York: Basil Blackwell, 1984

//Future Two: Collapse// [If you can only read one: Diamond, Collapse]

Robert Costanza, et al., Sustainability or collapse? An integrated history and future of people on Earth. MIT Press, 2007.

Jared Diamond, Collapse: How societies choose to fail or succeed. New York: Penguin Books, 2005

Thomas Homer-Dixon, The upside of down: Catastrophe, creativity, and the renewal of civilization. Island Press, 2006.

Gwynne Dyer, "World countdown to crop catastrophe," New Zealand Herald, April 3, 2008 

John Foster, The sustainability mirage: Illusion and reality in the coming war on climate change. Earthscan, 2008

Charles A. S. Hall and John W. Day, Jr., "Revisiting the Limits to Growth After Peak Oil," American Scientist, Vol. 97, May-June, 2009, 230-237.

Bill Joy, "Why The Future Doesn't Need Us," Wired, Issue 8.04 | April 2000 < http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/8.04/joy.html>

James Howard Kunstler, The long emergency: Surviving the converging catastrophes of the 21st Century. Atlantic Monthly Press, 2005

James Lovelock, The Vanishing Face Of Gaia: A Final Warning. Basic Books, 2009

Dmitry Orlov, "Closing the 'Collapse Gap': The USSR was better prepared for collapse than the US" , December 4, 2006

Dmitry Orlov, "Five Stages of Collapse," , Feb 14 2009

Dmitry Orlov, "Thriving in the Age of Collapse" and "Post-Soviet lessons for a Post-American Century" , 2009

Daniel Quinn, Beyond civilization: Humanity’s next great adventure. Three Rivers Press, 2000.

Martin Rees, Our final hour: A scientist's warning: How terror, error, and environmental disaster threaten humankind's future in this century--on Earth and beyond. New York: Basic Books, 2003.

James Speth, The bridge at the end of the world: Capitalism, the environment and crossing from crisis to sustainability. Yale University Press, 2008

James Speth, Red sky at morning: America and the crisis of the global environment. Yale University Press, 2004

Jack Sprigarelli, Crisis preparedness handbook. Cross-current Publishers 2002

Matthew Stein, When technology fails: A manual for self-reliance and planetary survival. Clear Light Books, 2000.

Graham Turner, A comparison of the Limits to Growth with thirty years of reality. Socio-economics and the environment in Discussion. CSIRO Working Paper Series 2008-2009. June 2008

Alan Weisman, The world without us. St. Martins Press, 2007

//Future Three: Conserver Society// [If you can only read one: Meadows, Limits to growth]

John Blewitt, Understanding sustainable development. Earthscan, 2008

Peter Dauvergne, The shadows of consumption: Consequences for the global environment. MIT Press, 2008

Kenneth Deffeyes, Beyond oil: The view from Hubbert's Peak. Hill and Wang, 2005

John Ehrenfeld, Sustainability by design: A subversive strategy for transforming our consumer culture. Yale University Press, 2008

Paul Ehrlich and Anne Ehrlich, One with Nineveh: Politics, consumption, and the human future. Washington: Island Press, 2004

Tim Flannery, The weather makers: How man is changing the climate and what it means for life on Earth. New York: Atlantic Monthly Press, 2006

Joel Garreau, The nine nations of North America. Houghton Mifflin, 1981

Newt Gingrich and Terry Maple, A contract with Earth. Johns Hopkins Press, 2007

Paul Hawken, Amory Lovins and Hunter Lovins, Natural capitalism: The next industrial revolution. Back Bay Books 2000.

Richard Heinberg, Peak everything: Waking up to the century of declines. New Society Publishers, 2007.

Eric Janszen, "The next bubble: Priming the markets for tomorrow's big crash," Harpers, February 2008

Naomi Klein, "Disaster Capitalism: The new economy of catastrophe," Harpers October 2007

William McDonough, Michael Braungart, Cradle to cradle: Remaking the way we make things. North Point Press, 2002

Bill McGibben, Deep economy: The wealth of communities and the durable future. Holt and Company, 2007

Dennis Meadows, Jorgen Randers, and Donella Meadows, Limits to growth: The 30-year update. Chelsea Green Publishing, 2004

Ira Rohter, A Green Hawaii. Na Kane O Ka Malo Press, 1992

Daniel Quinn, Beyond civilization: Humanity’s next great adventure. Three Rivers Press, 2000.

Richard Tomkins, "Let's bring back rationing," Financial Times, July 1, 2006, po. W2

//Future Four: Transformational Society//

[If you can only read one: Ray Kurzweil, The singularity is near]

Joel Garreau, Radical evolution: The promise and peril of enhancing our minds, our bodies -- and what it means to be human. Doubleday, 2005

Susantha Goonatilake, Merged evolution: Long-term implications of biotechnology & information technology, London: Gordon & Breach, 1999

James Hughes, Citizen cyborg. Why democratic societies must respond to the redesigned human of the future. Westview 2004.

Ray Kurzweil, The singularity is near: When humans transcend biology. New York: Viking, 2005.

Douglas Mulhall, Our molecular future: How nanotechnology, robotics, genetics, and artificial intelligence will transform the world, Amherst, New York: Prometheus Books, 2002.

Daniel H. Pink, A whole new mind: Moving from the Information Age to the Conceptual Age. Riverhead, 2005

Gregory Stock, Redesigning humans: Our inevitable genetic future. Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 2002.

ADDITIONAL RESOURCES

Here's the Model for the Campus of the Future document

Here are a ton of articles and resources on Indigenous education (thanks Jim). It's a 15 page long document that contains articles embedded, links to articles and PDF files of additional articles

And, here are some additional PDF files:







Here is Inayatollah's article on Causal Layered Analysis. I hope I uploaded this correctly.

(from Thomas Lim) _ The Sane Research Project (from T. Lim)

_ "Shift Happens," an eye-opening video clip that shows where education is going based on amazing demographics! (It's short, 6 minutes long and worth the time). http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ljbI-363A2Q

_ "Growing Up Online," another eye-popping video from PBS FRONTLINE about the realities of kids and their online lives. Everyone, including those without children, should see this video -- It's important! http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-6251187983028437242

Here are a few articles from "Urban Land": the publication of the Urban Land Institute. They give some perspective regarding current trends in campus masterplanning.

_Article on sustainable building design for higher ed (from Thomas) -

_ If the World is Flat, What are We Still Doing in  Cambridge ? An MIT lecture (video) of higher education and globalization, by: Allan Goodman

 see: [|http://mitworld.mit.edu/video/591/ (from Thomas)]

From Thomas: UH LRDP http://www.manoa.hawaii.edu/ovcafo/longRange/2007LRDPFinal030308.pdf And, here's a photo:

http://www.architecture2030.org/home.html This site is all about Ed Mazria's 2030 challenge. The 2030 Challenge also includes his 2010 Imperative, which targets higher education - specifically, curriculum and carbon-neutral design for school campuses. Also, Ed Mazria will be lecturing at the University of Hawaii School of Architecture on Wednesday, October 8, 2008. More information can be found on the fliers posted at the School of Architecture.

Architecture 2030 http://www.architecture2030.org/

Stuart Candy's blog: http://www.futuryst.com/

For those who did not attend last night’s seminar (see flyer) you can check out their website: http://www.architecture2030.org/ or tech-in webcast http://www.architecture2030.org/2010_imperative/webcast.html

Attached is other resource information about on going local efforts on sustainability. EPC is the current effort by state agencies to become green (e.g. UHM starting to look at, Maui Community College, Maui Supercomputer Center); I have working with DBEDT on a hybrid EPC for CTAHR’s small off campus facilities.

Good web site where current renewable energy researchers use: http://www.nrel.gov/learning/

Also one of the best overview on energy is on the Princeton Webmedia: http://www.princeton.edu/WebMedia/lectures/ Steven Chu, Director of Lawrence Berkeley Labs: **//“The energy problem: our current choices and future hopes” //** VideoNet [|****56K****][|****350K****][|****56K****][|****350K****] || Dede's article on Neomillennial Learning Styles and how campuses can change http://net.educause.edu/ir/library/pdf/EQM0511.pdf
 * March 30, 2006  – [|Department of Physics]